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Early Voting favors Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton over Republican Donald Trump, says Survey

In the past month, Arizona has gradually moved from a solid Trump state to a marginal Clinton state

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Picture of Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton. Wikimedia
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October 30, 2016: Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is leading the early voting survey in the past two weeks by 15 percent against Republican Donald Trump, says Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project. Republican nominee Donald Trump had a big loss just before 11 days before the U.S. presidential election.

Though data is not available, Clinton is enjoying an edge in states like Ohio, Arizona, Texas and Georgia.

According to University of Florida’s United States Election Project, in about 20 percent of the electorate, 19 million Americans have voted so far in the elections.

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On Friday, the FBI said to Reuters, they were examining the emails belonging to Huma Abedin, Clinton’s close aide, which were found on the computer of Anthony Weiner, Abedin’s estranged husband. He is suspected of sending illegitimate information of an investigation to a teenager. The survey was conducted before the news came out. So, having so many ballots locked down before 8th November, it will be a good news for the Clinton campaign.

[bctt tweet=”The FBI has refused to disclose any information regarding the emails belonging to Huma Abedin, Clinton’s close aide. ” username=””]

However, it is unclear if this incident is going to have an effect on Clinton’s campaign. Until Friday, her campaign had weathered the FBI investigation. The FBI has refused to disclose any information regarding the emails. They said that investigation will be closed since these emails were sent when Clinton was secretary of the state.

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While Trump campaign was busy fighting with continuous accusations by women of sexual harassments, Clinton held an average four to seven percentage points in polls. Trump also struggled in the recent presidential debates, when he was questioned about his taxes, mentioned Reuters.

The State of the Nation polling results which were released Saturday mentioned- “As of Thursday, Clinton’s odds of receiving the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency remained at greater than 95 percent. She would win by 320 votes to 218, with 278 votes solidly for the Democrat.”

According to the project, this lead is similar to the lead enjoyed by President Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney when Obama won by 332 electoral votes against Romney’s 206.

But the past few weeks have brought trouble for Clinton’s campaign. Clinton spoke about the release by WikiLeaks of the emails that were supposedly hacked from her manager’s account. This week’s leaked emails raise questions on the finances of former president Bill Clinton, mentioned Reuters.

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As per the results of States of the Nation, Florida, and North Carolina were still tilting toward Clinton, Ohio is still a toss-up. The polling suggests that the state is deadlocked between the two candidates. However, among the early voters, Clinton was up by double digits.

According to the project report in Arizona, Clinton also was solidly ahead among early voters. In the past month, Arizona has gradually moved from a solid Trump state to a marginal Clinton state; although it is still too close to call. Trumps’ lead in Georgia fell to five percent this week, down from eight percent last week. He has a lead in Texas. But, among the early voters, Clinton had a double-digit edge.

The State of the Nation project is a survey conducted every week with 15,000 people from all 50 states.

Prepared by Diksha Arya of NewsGram. Twitter: @diksha_arya53

 

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Brown: The colour of toil but non-acceptance across the West?

"This is now our destiny as brown people. Our labour is needed, but citizenship is denied."

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Police Chief David Brown. Image Source: Twitter
  • Kamal Al Solaylee’s book Brown highlights the problems of ‘brown’ people in Trump’s rule
  • Donald Trump is often accused of malingering the image of brown people
  • this book cites many examples of discrimination which brown people go through

Title: Brown: What Being Brown in the World Today Means (to Everyone); Author: Kamal Al Solaylee

All our social development and our technological advancements don’t seem enough to eradicate our long-persisting atavistic sense of difference based on appearance, which though long-suppressed is now emerging free from its restraints — as proved by the recent intemperate comments by US President Donald Trump on immigrants from a certain set of countries.

Trump’s thinking, as seen in his off-the-cuff remarks, underscore that the questionable classification of race, expressed by the obviously evident and inescapable feature of a person’s skin, is well alive — and extends beyond the white-black binary. What about the yellow, or rather, the (as necessary for the global economy but far more exploited) brown?

Donald Trump is famous for his rude comments towards brown people. wikimedia commons
Donald Trump is famous for his rude comments towards brown people. wikimedia commons

Trump is only one leading manifestation of the malaise facing brown people — which include West Asians, Latin Americans, North Africans, and South and Southeast Asians — and far beyond the West too or from the “Whites”, says Yemeni-origin, Egypt-bred, Canadian journalist-turned-academician Al Solaylee in this book.

Trump’s victory “largely (but not exclusively)” rode on demonising Mexicans, galvanising sentiment against Muslims and championing white nationalism, the vote for Brexit was mostly pioneered by those with a restrictive view of Englishness, the record of Canada under Stephen Harper’s Conservatives — all these are obscure racial conflicts brewing in the US and Europe for decades now.

Also Read: Mexico can learn about dealing with diaspora from India: Claudia Ruiz-Massieu Salinas

“Examine these tensions closely and you’ll find a strong anti-brown sentiment at the core,” says Al Solaylee as he traces the response to, as well as the experiences of, the residents of Global South, who are forced to migrate to — and much needed in — the Developed North for various reasons, not least of which is the latter’s colonial record.

“Brown as the colour of cheap labour continues on a global scale… brown bodies undertake the work that white and older immigrant Americans refuse to do (and those black slaves were forced to do in previous centuries).

These are low-skill, labour-intensive jobs in unforgiving climates,” he says, but also that these are not limited to the Western nations but also in the more affluent parts of Asia itself too.

“This is now our destiny as brown people. Our labour is needed, but citizenship is denied; our presence as Muslims or religious minorities is offered as an example of the tolerant, diverse societies in which we live, but we continue to be feared,” says Al Solaylee.

And there is no difference whether this is deliberate or mistaken as he goes to cite the cases of the racist slurs on Sikh volunteers feeding the homeless in Manchester in the wake of the May 2017 terror attack, or the fatal shooting of Indian techie Srinivas Kuchibhotla in the US in February 2017 by an American who thought he and his friend were Iranians and screaming at them to “get out of his country”.

Al Solaylee contends we think of brown as a “continuum, a grouping — a metaphor, even — for the millions of darker-skinned people who, in broad historical terms, have missed out on the economic and political gains of the post-mobility, equality and freedom”. They are now living, he says, among former colonial masters where they are “transforming themselves from nameless individuals with swarthy skins into neighbours, co-workers and friends”.

You may also like: List of 50 People who have affected Hinduism in a Negative Manner 

And it is their story he tells — both in their homes from the Philippines to Sri Lanka and workplaces from Hong Kong to the Gulf as well as Western Europe and North America.

Al Solaylee, however, starts with first recounting his own childhood experience on learning he is brown after seeing an English movie featuring a white child and coming to terms with “brownness” in his journeys around the world and interactions with other browns (fairness creams figure largely as well as the concern that he settle down) as well as Brown’s significance in nature and culture.

He then takes up the human obsession with race, despite the concept being debunked, except in politics before his exploration of the experiences and consequences of being brown around the world.

A stirring travelogue, incisive social and political comment and a passionate cry to rise above unavoidable consequences of geography and genes, this invaluable work rises in importance beyond its subject to be a seminal guide to the world today — and what it will soon be — particularly the US. IANS