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World Bank projects bright Indian growth for 2016-17 amid weak global growth

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A World Bank report projects India’s growth at 7.8% in 2016-17 amid projected weak global growth at 2.95%

Washington: India, the dominant economy in the South Asian region, is projected to grow at a faster 7.8 percent in fiscal 2016-17 with growth in the region, speeding up to 7.3 percent in 2016 from 7 percent in the year just ended, a new World Bank report said on Wednesday.

Weak growth among major emerging markets with only the South Asia region, led by India, projected to be a bright spot, will weigh on global growth in 2016. But economic activity should still pick up modestly to a 2.9 percent pace, from 2.4 percent growth in 2015, as advanced economies gain speed, said the World Bank’s January 2016 Global Economic Prospects released here.

South Asia region is a net importer of oil and will benefit from lower global energy prices. At the same time, because of relatively low global integration, the region is shielded from growth fluctuations in other economies, the report said.

Simultaneous weakness in most major emerging markets is a concern for achieving the goals of poverty reduction and shared prosperity because those countries have been powerful contributors to global growth for the past decade, the bank said.

Spillovers from major emerging markets will constrain growth in developing countries and pose a threat to hard-won gains in raising people out of poverty, the report warned.

Global economic growth was less than expected in 2015, when falling commodity prices, flagging trade and capital flows, and episodes of financial volatility sapped economic activity.

Firmer growth ahead will depend on continued momentum in high income countries, the stabilization of commodity prices, and China’s gradual transition towards a more consumption and services-based growth model.

Developing economies are forecast to expand by 4.8 percent in 2016, less than expected earlier, but up from a post-crisis low of 4.3 percent in the year just ended.

Growth is projected to slow further in China, while Russia and Brazil are expected to remain in recession in 2016.

“There is greater divergence in performance among emerging economies. Compared to six months ago, the risks have increased, particularly those associated with the possibility of a disorderly slowdown in a major emerging economy,” said World Bank Group Vice President and Chief Economist Kaushik Basu.

“A combination of fiscal and central bank policies can be helpful in mitigating these risks and supporting growth.”

Although unlikely, a faster-than-expected slowdown in large emerging economies could have global repercussions, the report said.

Risks to the outlook also include financial stress around the US Federal Reserve tightening cycle and heightened geopolitical tensions, it said. (Arun Kumar, IANS) (Photo: www.odishanewsinsight.com)

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World Bank shareholders endorse capital increase plan

Following the capital increase plan announced Saturday, the combined financing arms of the World Bank

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World Bank's prompt decission to pause two seperate projects with India nad Pakistan came after India's objection against it
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The World Bank has said its shareholders endorsed a capital increase package, a series of internal reforms, and a set of policy measures to strengthen the international lender’s capabilities.

The $13 billion capital increase package includes $7.5 billion of paid-in capital for the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), the group’s primary lending arm, and $5.5 billion for the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the group’s private sector lending arm, said the World Bank in a statement on Saturday, Xinhua reported.

World BAnk shareholders to have better plans.

World Bank shareholders also endorsed a $52.6 billion callable capital increase for IBRD, the statement said.

“Through the historic agreement endorsed today, our shareholders have clearly demonstrated a renewed confidence in global cooperation,” World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim said.

“This capital package allows for greater responsiveness to risks to global stability and security, particularly in poorer countries and fragile states,” Kim added.

Following the capital increase plan announced Saturday, the combined financing arms of the World Bank are expected to reach an average annual capacity of nearly $100 billion between fiscal year 2019 and fiscal year 2030, said the World Bank. Kim said at a press briefing this week that the capital increase package doesn’t target changes of loans to any specific country.

Also Read: India will become High-Middle Income Country by 2047, says World Bank CEO

“It’s about how we think about income levels and how the World Bank Group can continue to be a partner and to support all of our member countries who are still clients,” he argued. He said that the multilateral lender would increase lending to lower middle-income countries over time. IANS