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A persistent theme of Indian bond curve is its very attractive steepness even up to mid-duration points. This has allowed for substantial carry plus rolls down benefits from a portfolio standpoint. The assumption in this sort of strategy is that, while bond yields can rise, they should do so relatively modestly and in an orderly fashion for the excess carry and the benefit of roll down to manifest itself.
There have been two episodes of sharp intermittent volatility in bond markets that have disturbed this trade since the start of the calendar year. The first was the very first few months of 2021 when the global reflation trade got a fresh wind with an additional large US fiscal stimulus besides a subsequently accelerated pace of reopening in many parts of the developed world. This led to a substantial rise in global yields, commodity prices and inflation expectations. Our bond markets had to understandably react in sympathy as well leading to a short period sharp rise in yields. The second was more recently with India's CPI reading received in June throwing a nasty surprise versus expectations. Given the underlying backdrop of firm global commodity prices and the recent sharp rise in oil, this threw market expectations concerning local policy unwind into a fresh 'blue-sky'.
However, since then two notable events have occurred: One, the RBI Governor in a recent media interview seemed to indicate a continued preference for the need to nurture growth recovery. Even has he referred to being watchful on inflation momentum, the reading received in June hadn't upset the 'applecart' of preferences so to speak. And then the CPI reading received in July soothed further by undershooting consensus expectations and showing a drop in some of the momentum attained in the previous reading, even as it was still outside the upper band of the current targeting range. However, it is quite likely that a near term peak has been attained and that CPI progressively falls into October November helped by a generous base effect.
Cash Versus Bonds
We had discussed in detail in our previous note the efficacy of cash as a hedge against market volatility. We have also before dwelled extensively on the trade-off: that while cash seems the best hedge against market volatility (better than swap), it is also true that the carry loss embedded in running cash is significant. As an illustration, only if the five-year government bond yield rises by more than approximately 5 bps a month will holding cash outperform holding the bond. Hence, a portfolio hedge cannot have an indefinite shelf life. Having a view that yields will rise is also not an adequate justification for holding large amounts of cash, given the steepness of the curve. Unlike in some previous market cycles when yield curves have been relatively flat and holding cash has hurt only when bond yields have fallen, as noted above in the current context yields have to rise substantially for cash to outperform. Hence, using cash or portfolio hedges has to be reviewed continually and large cash positions should probably only be used in periods of very high uncertainty which are marked with significant probabilities of outlier risks such as (in our assessment) the period between the last two CPI prints. This is because had the print received in July also exceeded expectations (some analysts were expecting around 7 per cent) then the market would have started expecting imminent policy normalisation. It is to be noted that one outlier print informs market expectations substantially since it elevates the average CPI expectation for the full year and distorts analysts perceptions as to what month-on-month momentum to assume going forward.
However now that the CPI print has passed 'safely' and there's a relatively reassuring interview from the Governor as well, one can probably assess that some of the outlier risks may have passed. To be clear, commodity prices remain firm and there is an added element of monsoon delay locally to contend with. But these are within the realm of modellable risks (unless crude oil prices spike substantially again) and seem consistent with an underlying view of a gradual increase in bond yields. On the flip side, peak growth expectations seem to be past us (China seems to slow as well) while infections seem on the rise in parts of the world again. This phase of 'learning to live with the virus' may very well weigh on consumer sentiment and activity to some extent at least in parts of the world that aren't substantially vaccinated and in turn, may inform the element of patience in monetary policy conduct as well.
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In light of our assessment of the presence of outlier risks, we had substantially raised cash/near cash in our active duration funds over the past month. However, this wasn't supposed to be an indefinite strategy given the significant carry loss involved. Factors discussed above have to some extent reduced these outliers in our view even as the underlying environment remains somewhat uncertain. Given this, we have reduced cash/near cash to approximately between 18- 28% in our active duration funds as of July 14, 2021. Our preference remains for four-five year government bonds for the most part where we assess the carry adjusted for duration risk is the most compelling. As always, portfolio strategies can change at any time basis on our evolving assessment of various factors in light of the active duration nature of these funds. (IANS/AD)
By- Blogger Indifi
EMI is known as equated monthly installments. It is a fixed payment made by the borrower each month to repay the loan amount. The EMI is divided into two loan components. One is the principal amount, and the second is the interest amount. Whether you are applying for a personal loan, business loan, home loan, car loan, or education loan, EMIs are easy to calculate using the EMI loan calculator.
Three parameters based on which EMI calculator works:
- Loan amount.
- Repayment tenure.
- Rate of interest (offered by the lender).
Factors that affect the Loan EMIs
Above, we have discussed the main parameters on which loan EMI is based. Here are the factors that affect the EMIs.
Changes in the loan interest rate: There are three loan interest rates -- fixed, floating, and hybrid.
When an interest rate offered on a loan is fixed, in that scenario, there are no changes in the EMIs.
A floating interest rate is linked to the marginal cost of the fund-based lending rate and can change the loan EMIs. As the rate is flexible, it keeps changing per the repo rate.
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If you have taken the loan on a hybrid interest rate, the interest rate is fixed only for a particular tenure. After that, it is on MCLR to decide the interest rate, and based on the determined interest rate, the EMI changes.
Tenure: When you opt for a loan transfer from one lender to another, there may be a possibility of change in the loan tenure. It will also bring changes in the EMI calculations. If the tenure increases, it will decrease the EMI. In case the tenure is reduced, EMI will increase.
Sample loan chart of a business company Image source: wikimedia commons
The loan amount of repayment is also a reason that affects a loan's EMI. If you make a loan prepayment, it reduces the outstanding principal amount, based on which the EMI amount or tenure is changed.
Benefits of using an online EMI calculator:
- Find out exact EMIs to be paid monthly for any loan.
- Saves time.
- Get a detailed overview of loans applied using the amortization schedule.
- Plan your monthly finances well in advance.
You can set multiple schedules and loan tenures. After a detailed schedule comparison, choose the one that suits well with your financial requirements.
Significance of loan amortization schedule in EMI calculator
A loan amortization schedule data shows the EMI break-ups. It shows how much EMI you need to pay for interest and what you will pay as the principal amount. It is one of the most significant advantages of using the EMI calculator. The EMIs that you pay as principal will keep reducing the loan's principal amount. It will also result in decreasing the interest amount. You will get to know all these things when you use the EMI loan calculator frequently. The amortization schedule is one of the essential features of an EMI loan calculator that helps design the proper prepayment schedule.
The different types of EMI calculators
Home loan EMI calculator
Home loans are one of the most popular and common loans applied for in India. It has a long tenure and a sizable principal amount. Whenever you apply for a home loan, it is essential to do all the EMI calculations in advance. There are various home loan EMI calculators available online with every home loan provider. All that is required to calculate the EMI is the loan amount, tenure, and interest rate. Using a home loan EMI calculator can help you easily plan your finances.
Business loan EMI calculator
Like home loans, business loans also come with a massive principal amount and longer tenures. So, using the business loan online EMI calculator is a smart way to calculate the business loan EMIs. Requirements are the essential loan details, such as repayment tenure, interest rate, and the loan amount. Online, equated monthly installment is automatically calculated at the lender's website.
Personal loan EMI Calculator
Personal loans are multipurpose. It is the reason they are considered as the most applied loan to meet immediate financial requirements. For choosing the right loan amount, you must use the personal loan EMI calculator. It will help you to choose the best interest rate loan offer and tenure. Try to go with the shorter term to pay less interest on the principal amount.
Sample of External Loan amounts Image source: wikimedia commons
Education loan EMI calculator
Education costs increase each year and can cause financial strains on a family. If you are planning to send your child overseas for higher education by applying for an education loan, at that time, the EMI calculator proves to be the best online financial tool. It will help you to decide the right EMI amount where your daily expenses remain unaffected.
Simple interest loan EMI calculator
An EMI calculator is used to calculate the simple interest applicable on the loan amount for a specified tenure. It is one of the most accessible financial tools. All that is required is tenure, a simple interest rate, and the borrowed amount. After that, click on 'calculate' to know the exact EMI to be paid.
Loan against property EMI calculator
If you have any residential or commercial property registered in your name, you can apply for a loan against the property. It is a kind of secured loan, where the property is kept as collateral. To understand how EMI works under this loan scheme, use the loan against the property EMI calculator.
Overall, EMI loan calculators are one of the best financial tools to compare varied loan offers. It provides a clear picture of the total cost of the loan and respective EMIs to be paid monthly. Online EMI calculators are available on every lender's website; whether you are applying for a business loan online, home loan, car loan, personal loan, or any other loan, using the online EMI calculator can help. Just with a click of a mouse, you can keep control of your financial life.
The online EMI loan calculator has been programmed with the formula based on the loan applied. There is no need to worry about the accuracy of the result. All that you are required to share for the calculator to do its job accurately is the right amount, tenure, and interest rate offered by the lender.
Disclaimer: (This article is sponsored and include some commercial links)
The symbol of Swastika is known to signify peace, prosperity, and good fortune in the religious cultures of Eurasia. In fact, this symbol is considered very significant in Hinduism, Buddhism, and Jainism. But, at the same time, it has become one of the most misunderstood religious symbols and has been globally banned in many countries.
The reason why the symbol of Swastika is banned in many countries is because of its association with Adolf Hitler's extreme political ideology, Nazism, as Swastika as its official symbol.
Austria, France, Latvia, Spain, Germany, and Russia are amongst the many countries that have banned the display and use of the Swastika.
Moreover, last week Victoria in Australia is preparing to become the first-ever state to ban the public display of the Swastika. This is a step towards an expansion of anti-vilification laws in the state.
Representation of the Swastika on the flag of Adolf Hitler's Nazi Movement.Photo by Flickr.
Now, we must know and understand what went wrong with this symbol, which is sacred and signifies all-good things.
For a very, very long time, in India, the Swastika is the first emblem that is worshipped or even drawn before any sacred and auspicious ceremonies as this symbol in Sanskrit represents 'well-being'. But, the Swastika lost all its credibility when it was wrongfully used by Adolf Hitler.
In fact, it is believed that if this symbol is worshipped properly, then it gives positive results. But if it is abused, then it gives negative results. So, when Adolf Hitler rotated the Swastika at 45 degrees, it slowly and steadily brought misery not only to Adolf Hitler and his theory of Nazism but also to all the people who were associated with him.
Therefore, in order to give the kind of respect and credibility which the Swastika deserves, World Interfaith Harmony Week which was held in New York in February this year, interfaith groups appealed to the United Nations to recognize and acknowledge the Swastika as an important and peaceful symbol. In fact, they also differentiated it from the Hakenkreuz or "Hooked Cross" of Adolf Hitler.
Keywords: Swastika, Symbol, Nazism, Hinduism, Adolf Hitler, United Nations, Buddhism, Jainism
India celebrated a historic day on August 7, as 23-year-old Neeraj Chopra became the first Indian to win an Olympic gold medal in athletics. In the men's javelin throw event, he achieved his greatest triumph, throwing the javelin 87.58 meters on his second try.
Neeraj Chopra was born on December 24, 1997, in Khandra village in Haryana's Panipat district. He grew up in a Haryanavi family of farmers. He is the brother of two sisters. He graduated from Dayanand Anglo-Vedic College in Chandigarh and is now enrolled in Lovely Professional University in Jalandhar, Punjab, pursuing a Bachelor of Arts degree. Chopra was bullied due to his obesity as a kid, which prompted his father to enroll him in a nearby gym. He then joined a gym in Panipat, where Jaiveer Choudhary, a javelin thrower, noticed his potential and coached him. When the 13-year-old Chopra finished training under Jaiveer for a year, he was enrolled at the Tau Devi Lal Sports Complex in Panchkula, where he began training under coach Naseem Ahmed.
In 2018, he broke the world record in the javelin throw and became India's first-ever gold medalist in the javelin throw. He is also a laureate of the Arjuna Award for 2018. | Wikimedia Commons
Chopra's first international medal came in 2014, as he took home a silver medal at the Youth Olympic Qualification Tournament in Bangkok. In 2015, he set a world record in the junior category of 81.04 meters in the 2015 All India Inter-University Athletics Meet.
Since emerging into the public eye with a historic gold medal at the junior world championships in 2016, he has maintained a high level of performance, setting an Under-20 world record of 86.48m, which still stands. Gold medals in both the 2018 Commonwealth Games and the 2018 Asian Games are among his other accomplishments, including a first-place in the 2017 Asian Championships. In 2018, he broke the world record in the javelin throw and became India's first-ever gold medalist in the javelin throw. He is also a laureate of the Arjuna Award for 2018.
Chopra has also had his share of bad events in life. In 2019, he underwent surgery on the elbow of his right throwing arm, which kept him out of the game for almost a year. However, he returned more robust than ever. In November 2019, he went to South Africa to train from Klaus Bartoneitz. He spent the following year in India training at the NIS Patiala because of the COVID-19 pandemic. He was allowed to go to France with his coach after weeks of trying to get a travel visa.
Neeraj Chopra made history in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics by becoming the first Indian to win a gold medal in athletics. Also, it is worth mentioning that after Abhinav Bindra, Chopra is only the second Indian to win an individual gold medal.
Keywords: Neeraj Chopra, Olympics, Tokyo2020, Gold medal, javelin, India, Haryana