Monday August 20, 2018
Home India Rupee to rema...

Rupee to remain volatile in the midst of Greek crisis, says Arvind Subramanian

0
//
83
Republish
Reprint

rupee3-001

By NewsGram Staff Writer

The Indian government on Monday said it was closely monitoring the Greek situation and euro market movements after austerity proposals by creditors being rejeted in a referendum posed the possibility of the country’s exit from the euro zone, while the rupee may be affected due to the outward flight of investment.

“In these situations what mostly happens is there is flight to dollars, to a safe haven. Rupee might also be affected by that. But nothing gets unusual at all so far,” Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian told reporters here.

“This is a drama which is going to play out for some time. We are well protected in at least three ways. Our macro-economic situation is much more stable. We have reserves. We are an economy which is still a very attractive investment destination. So I think we are relatively well insulated,” he said.

“As for the crisis itself, it is going to going to be long and prolonged,” he added.

Over 61 percent of Greeks voted “no” on Sunday, responding overwhelmingly to Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras’ calls to reject a proposal by the country’s creditors for more austerity in exchange for a financial bailout.

On possible impact of the crisis on Indian economy, Subramanian said that as the crisis plays out, “financial markets are going to be volatile. Both the ECB (European Central Bank) and Fed (US Federal Reserve) will take this into account”.

“We will have to see how the euro moves now. We are closely monitoring the Greek situation. There could be some reaction on the Fed rate hike,” Finance Secretary Rajiv Mehrishi said.

He had last week expressed apprehension that if yields on euro bonds go up, it might impact inflows and outflows from India.

Indian industry feels that if a crisis developed for Europe due to Greece, India too could feel the tremors like the rest of the world.

What is worrying is that the overall situation with regard to India’s merchandise exports does not look promising this year and the troubles in Europe could only deteriorate the prospects,” the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (Assocham) said in a statement here.

“There is a need for RBI and the finance ministry to keep a close eye on the muddy global situation and its possible effect on India’s capital flows and the currency movement,” it added.

India’s merchandise exports continued to decline for the second month this fiscal, down by over 20 percent at $22.35 billion in May from $27.99 billion in the same month of the previous year, official data showed last month.

The Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) has warned that the continuing decline in exports would result in layoffs, besides putting pressure on the current account deficit (CAD).

FIEO president S.C. Ralhan also agreed with RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan’s recent remarks that the central banks globally were at risk of slipping into the kind of beggar-thy-neighbour strategies, leading to the Great Depression of the 1930s again.

Click here for reuse options!
Copyright 2015 NewsGram

Next Story

RBI To Transfer 50,000cr Surplus To The Central Government

The Reserve Bank's income comprises of earnings from foreign and domestic sources, with the major portion being contributed by interest receipts, complemented by relatively small amounts of income from discount, exchange, commission, etc.

0
Reserve Bank of India. VOA

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday said that it will transfer Rs 50,000 crore as surplus to the central government for the year ended June 30, 2018.

The Central Bank which follows the July-June year had transferred Rs 30,659 crore to the government’s coffers for the year ended June 30, 2017.

According to RBI, the decision to transfer the surplus was taken by its Central Board which met here on Wednesday.

The Central Bank which follows the July-June year had transferred Rs 30,659 crore to the government's coffers for the year ended June 30, 2017.
The Central Bank which follows the July-June year had transferred Rs 30,659 crore to the government’s coffers for the year ended June 30, 2017.

The Reserve Bank’s income comprises of earnings from foreign and domestic sources, with the major portion being contributed by interest receipts, complemented by relatively small amounts of income from discount, exchange, commission, etc.

Also Read: RBI Penalty not to have any material impact: IDBI Bank

The RBI Act stipulates that after making provisions for contingencies and corpus funds as defined therein, the balance profit of the apex bank is to be transferred to the central government. (IANS)