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Sensex to Snap its Longest Consecutive Sessions Falls in Last Eight Years

"Strong inflows from DIIs, appreciation of rupee and value buying in mid and small caps helped the domestic market."

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A slight ease in crude oil prices along with value buying and a strong rupee aided the benchmark Sensex to snap its longest consecutive sessions fall in the last eight years on Wednesday.

Accordingly, the benchmark index closed with handsome gains of over 400 points while the Nifty50 jumped past the 10,700 mark after struggling in the past sessions.

Adding to the positive momentum were the gains made by the rupee and healthy domestic investment which were supported by expectations that the US and China may resolve their trade tensions.

Sensex
Accordingly, the benchmark index closed with handsome gains of over 400 points while the Nifty50 jumped past the 10,700 mark after struggling in the past sessions. Pixabay

“Positive global markets lifted the domestic market sentiments after 2 weeks of under performance. Dovish minutes from US Fed and resumption of dialogue between US and China added positive vibes to the global market,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services.

“Strong inflows from DIIs, appreciation of rupee and value buying in mid and small caps helped the domestic market.”

The S&P BSE Sensex closed 403.65 points or 1.14 per cent higher at 35,756.26 from its previous close of 35,352.61, while the NSE Nifty50 ended 131.10 points or 1.24 per cent higher at 10,735.45.

 

Sensex
“Strong inflows from DIIs, appreciation of rupee and value buying in mid and small caps helped the domestic market.” Pixabay

Among the top gainer were Vedanta, which inched up 4.67 per cent, followed by Tata Steel, up 4.13 per cent. ONGC, NTPC and Yes Bank came next.

Sensex saw only four stocks ending in the red led by Hero Moto Corp, Hindustan Uniliver, Bajaj Auto and IndusInd Bank.

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“During the penultimate hour, we saw emergence of strong buying interest, reclaiming 10,700 convincingly by adding more than 130 points to the bulls’ kitty,” said Sameet Chavan, Chief Analyst, Technical and Derivatives, Angel Broking.

Historically, Chavan said it had been observed that whenever index corrects for eight straight sessions without surpassing the previous day’s high, the ninth day becomes a reversal day or a bounce back day.  (IANS)

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Crude Oil Prices Whipsaw in September Following Attacks on Infrastructure

US crude oil inventories continue to climb due to a rising trend in US production

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Crude Oil, Prices, Attacks
The wild ride in September has now been replaced by a slow trend lower. Pixabay

Crude oil prices lost ground in the Q3 declining by more than 7%. The wild ride in September has now been replaced by a slow trend lower. US crude oil inventories continue to climb due to a rising trend in US production. This comes despite a knee jerk spike in prices during September, following an attack on the main Saudi Arabian crude oil production infrastructure. It’s unlikely that oil prices will be able to gain traction when economic growth is contracting.

The Saudi’s Were Attacked

On September 14, Saudi Arabia was attacked. Rocket strikes hit their oil infrastructure, pushing prices up more than 14% in one day. It was the largest one day increase in oil prices in decades. Saudi Arabia announced that more than 5% of the worlds crude oil production had been sidelined. By Tuesday, September 17, the kingdom announced they would have all their production up by November. By the end of the Q3, it now appears that all the oil production that was taken offline is now back up and running. The initial reports suggesting it could take months for production to return to normal, were inaccurate which put downward pressure on prices.

Crude Oil prices continued to fall on the first day of the Q4 as Saudi Arabia agreed to a partial ceasefire in Yemen. Houthi rebels said that the attacks on the Saudi’s would stop if the Kingdom stopped targeting its positions with air strikes.

Crude Oil, Prices, Attacks
Crude oil prices lost ground in the Q3 declining by more than 7%. Pixabay

Inventories Continue to Rise

US commercial crude oil inventories increased, more than expected according to a report from the Department of Energy. Inventories have been rising due to production in the US climbing to 12.5 million barrels a day. Stockpiles rose by 3.1 million barrels from the previous week, according to the EIA. At 422.6 million barrels, US crude oil inventories are at the five-year average for this time of year. 

Gasoline inventories edged lower and are now 3% above the five-year average for this time of year. Distillate fuel inventories decreased by 2.4 million barrels last week declining more than expected but remain 8% above the 5-year average according to the Energy Information Administration. Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased last week by 0.9 million barrels last week. 

US Demand is Rising

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Despite a decline in total global economic output, demand for oil products in the United States remains on the rise. According to the US Department of Energy, Total product demand over the last month averaged 20.9 million barrels per day, up by 2.1% year over year. Over the past month gasoline demand averaged 9.3 million barrels per day, down by 0.1% from the same period last year. Distillate fuel demand averaged 3.9 million barrels per day over the past month down by 0.6% from the same period last year. Jet fuel demand was down 4.2% year over year. 

The outlook for demand continues to slide. While the US is growing at approximately 2% year over year, it appears that Europe and Asia are contracting. There is a good chance that German growth will contract in the Q3, putting Europe’s largest economy into recession. It’s unlikely that oil prices will be able to gain traction when economic growth is contracting.