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US and Iran To Calm Things Down, Inch Closer to a Deal Over The Reopening of The Strait of Hormuz

President Donald Trump says Washington is ready to return to "commitments" as talks with Tehran reach their final stage on the Strait of Hormuz issue.
Donald Trump
Trump's renewed hints of a deal on the Strait of Hormuz have already shaken oil prices and lifted stock markets.X
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Key Points:

Iran says the US is ready to return to earlier commitments, even as Tehran denies holding direct talks with Washington.
Iran and Oman are finalizing a deal on Hormuz shipping, one that reportedly gives Iran more control over which vessels can pass.
Despite the optimism, fewer than 10 ships a day are crossing the strait, and reports of explosions near tankers off Yemen and Oman show the region remains unsettled.

By Gopal Ram Tripathi

FOR MONTHS, tension between the United States and Iran has kept one of the world's busiest oil routes, the Strait of Hormuz, on edge. Now, there are fresh signs that a deal to calm things down and reopen the waterway could be closed. Iran says the US is ready to go back to its earlier promises, even as Tehran denies that direct talks with Washington are happening. At the same time, President Donald Trump has once again hinted that an agreement is within reach, a claim that has already shaken oil prices and lifted stock markets.

See Also: US Continues Strikes On Iran As Tehran Targets Vessels In Gulf

Not Direct Negotiations, But A Prominent Sign From Washington’s Earlier Commitments

Iran and Oman say they are now in the final stages of putting together an agreement on how ships will be allowed to move through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow stretch of water is one of the most important routes in the world for shipping oil, so any disruption there affects fuel prices everywhere. According to a Reuters report, the deal Tehran is drafting with Oman would actually give Iran more say over which vessels can pass through.

Trump has repeated his claim that a deal between the US and Iran could come as soon as this week. He has made similar promises before, only for fighting between the two countries to flare up again shortly after. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has echoed the same optimism, telling CNBC that an agreement could be reached very soon and that it would restore what he called "freedom of movement" for commercial ships passing through the strait.

Strait of Hormuz
The US rejected a draft plan that would block American and Israeli ships, insisting any route stay open to all without approvals or charges.X

Not everyone agrees on how close a deal really is. Iran's Foreign Ministry has publicly stated that it is not in direct negotiations with the United States, even while saying Washington appears willing to return to its earlier commitments. This gap between what US officials are saying and what Iran is saying publicly shows just how complicated and sensitive these negotiations remain.

Adding to the confusion, a draft plan reportedly circulated by Iranian state media suggested that American and Israeli ships would actually be blocked from using the strait under the new arrangement. US officials quickly pushed back on this, insisting that any temporary shipping routes must be open to everyone, without special approvals, permissions, or extra charges for passing through.

See Also: US Senator John Curtis Points To Bipartisan Momentum As Russia-Iran Sanctions Bill Nears Final Vote

A Step To Re-Stabilize The Situation On Oil Across The Globe

The back-and-forth over Hormuz has had a direct impact on global markets. Whenever officials like Bessent hint that a deal is close, oil prices tend to drop and stock markets often rise, since investors see it as a sign that tensions may finally be easing. Bessent has pointed out that a full reopening of the strait wouldn't just help the oil industry. It would also benefit other sectors that depend on shipments moving through the waterway, including fertilizer producers, chemical companies, and various industrial gas suppliers.

ships
Hints of a deal have moved markets, dropping oil prices and lifting stocks, with Bessent noting benefits beyond oil to fertilizer and chemical industries.X

The US military has maintained that a southern route through the strait, which passes through Omani waters rather than the areas closer to Iran, has stayed open for commercial ships throughout the conflict. Still, shipping analysts have noted that only a small number of vessels, often fewer than ten a day, are actually making the crossing right now, a sign that normal shipping traffic is far from fully restored despite the more hopeful statements coming from officials.

Adding another layer of uncertainty, Britain's Maritime Trade Organisation reported receiving news of explosions near tankers off the coasts of Yemen and Oman, a reminder that the wider region remains unsettled even as diplomats work toward an agreement.

Whether this latest round of optimism finally leads to a real, lasting deal remains to be seen. Trump has raised hopes of an Iran agreement before, only to see the situation spiral back into conflict. For now, both sides appear to be edging toward some kind of arrangement over the Strait of Hormuz, but with Iran denying direct talks and disagreements still surfacing over the details, the world will be watching closely to see if this time is actually different.

Suggested Reading:

Donald Trump
Could The US-Iran Battle For Hormuz Be A Win For Russia And China?

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