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Improved governance can fuel India to be top growth nation: IBM

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New Delhi: India, with improved governance and strong social and physical infrastructure, can become the world’s highest growth nation in the 21st century, revealed an IBM study.

IBM India managing director Vanitha Narayanan released the report “Indian Century: Defining India’s Place in a Rapidly Changing Global Economy” here on Thursday

India is witnessing a transformation that promises to minimise constraints and support economic advancement. The build out of social and digital infrastructure, powered by local innovations, will help India become an integral part of the global ecosystem,

The IBM Institute for Business Value predicted how India could become the world’s highest growth nation in the 21st century.

The study is based on interviews with 1,088 Indian executives across large enterprises (73 percent), start-ups (11 percent), academia (5 percent) and government (11 percent) to get their perspective on opportunities and roadblocks for the Indian economy.

Nearly 51 percent of the Indian executives highlighted improved governance as a key driver for sustainable growth, while social (46 percent) and physical (45 percent) infrastructure were ranked important growth drivers on second and third spots respectively.

Nearly 43 percent executives placed access to capital on the fourth spot and said this key factor has been a hindrance in sustainable growth.

About 40 percent executives backed availability of skilled resources as the fifth key driver to bring sustainable growth in India,

According to the study, India benefits from entrepreneurialism and diversity and is currently ranking as the fourth-largest source of technology start-ups globally.

“A young population equipped with the right skills and growing middle class will reinforce economic activity through increased consumption and investment,” it highlighted, noting that by 2020, India will constitute 30 percent of the world’s workforce and by 2030, the nation is projected to have the largest middle-class population in the world.

Narayanan, in her speech, also emphasised over India’s potential and growth perspective.

The study rightly points out that India has immense potential to leapfrog traditional growth paradigms. If we are able to capitalise on the opportunities present in front of us, the next decade can definitely mark the beginning of the Indian Century,

Based on unique advantages that India has and the recognition that economic transformation is essential for India’s long-term well-being, the country is already on the path of economic advancement, said the study. (IANS)

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As per Assocham, the Indian economy may reach 7% in 2018

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As per Assocham, the Indian economy may reach 7% in 2018.
As per Assocham, the Indian economy may reach 7% in 2018. IANS
  • Because of demonitisation, the economy may reach 7% in 2018: Assocham
  • Inflation may range between 4-5.5 per cent towards the second half of the next calendar year
  • Assocham expects the forthcoming Union Budget to be “heavily tilted” towards the farmers

New Delhi, Dec 24, 2017: With government policies set to tilt more towards the “stress-ridden rural landscape” next year in the run-up to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the Indian economy may reach a 7 per cent growth in 2018 while recovering from the lingering effects of demonetisation and GST, industry chamber Assocham said on Sunday.

“After ‘disruptions’ from the lingering effects of demonetisation and GST roll-out, the Indian economy may reach a 7 per cent growth in 2018 with government policies tilting towards the stress-ridden rural landscape in the penultimate year before the Lok Sabha elections,” according to the industry body’s “Year-Ahead Outlook”.

“Against GDP growth of 6.3 per cent in the second quarter of 2017-18, the economic expansion may reach the crucial 7 per cent mark by the end of September 2018 quarter, while inflation may range between 4-5.5 per cent towards the second half of the next calendar year with the monsoon being a key imponderable,” it said.

Assocham President Sandeep Jajodia said the projections were based on the assumption of stability in government policies, good monsoons, pick-up in industrial activity and credit growth as also stability in the foreign exchange rates.

“The worries on account of crude oil shooting up are likely to abate, if there are no fresh geo-political shockers.”

According to the Assocham outlook, while the underlying bullish sentiment should continue to prevail in the Indian stock market in 2018, the returns on equity may not be as robust as in 2017.

“This is because the 2017 bull run has already factored in the return of growth steadiness in 2018 and the corporate earnings witnessing a pick-up,” it said.

The industry lobby said in the run-up to state assembly elections in several politically important states, the political economy is set to tilt towards the farm sector “which has been witnessing some stress”.

“The stress in the agriculture sector is traceable to lack of reforms in the rural economy. Despite political promises, several of the states have not been able to reform the APMC Act, which restricts farmers to sell their produce to a particular set of cartels.”

Assocham expects the forthcoming Union Budget to be “heavily tilted” towards the farmers while the industrial focus would be on sectors which create jobs.

“A realisation seems to be dawning that growth per se is not enough, the benefits must be seen in the form of higher employment. The year 2018 would see policies in this direction”, the statement added. (IANS)

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