October 30, 2016: Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton is leading the early voting survey in the past two weeks by 15 percent against Republican Donald Trump, says Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project. Republican nominee Donald Trump had a big loss just before 11 days before the U.S. presidential election.
Though data is not available, Clinton is enjoying an edge in states like Ohio, Arizona, Texas and Georgia.
According to University of Florida’s United States Election Project, in about 20 percent of the electorate, 19 million Americans have voted so far in the elections.
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On Friday, the FBI said to Reuters, they were examining the emails belonging to Huma Abedin, Clinton’s close aide, which were found on the computer of Anthony Weiner, Abedin’s estranged husband. He is suspected of sending illegitimate information of an investigation to a teenager. The survey was conducted before the news came out. So, having so many ballots locked down before 8th November, it will be a good news for the Clinton campaign.
However, it is unclear if this incident is going to have an effect on Clinton’s campaign. Until Friday, her campaign had weathered the FBI investigation. The FBI has refused to disclose any information regarding the emails. They said that investigation will be closed since these emails were sent when Clinton was secretary of the state.
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While Trump campaign was busy fighting with continuous accusations by women of sexual harassments, Clinton held an average four to seven percentage points in polls. Trump also struggled in the recent presidential debates, when he was questioned about his taxes, mentioned Reuters.
The State of the Nation polling results which were released Saturday mentioned- “As of Thursday, Clinton’s odds of receiving the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency remained at greater than 95 percent. She would win by 320 votes to 218, with 278 votes solidly for the Democrat.”
According to the project, this lead is similar to the lead enjoyed by President Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney when Obama won by 332 electoral votes against Romney’s 206.
But the past few weeks have brought trouble for Clinton’s campaign. Clinton spoke about the release by WikiLeaks of the emails that were supposedly hacked from her manager’s account. This week’s leaked emails raise questions on the finances of former president Bill Clinton, mentioned Reuters.
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As per the results of States of the Nation, Florida, and North Carolina were still tilting toward Clinton, Ohio is still a toss-up. The polling suggests that the state is deadlocked between the two candidates. However, among the early voters, Clinton was up by double digits.
According to the project report in Arizona, Clinton also was solidly ahead among early voters. In the past month, Arizona has gradually moved from a solid Trump state to a marginal Clinton state; although it is still too close to call. Trumps’ lead in Georgia fell to five percent this week, down from eight percent last week. He has a lead in Texas. But, among the early voters, Clinton had a double-digit edge.
The State of the Nation project is a survey conducted every week with 15,000 people from all 50 states.
– Prepared by Diksha Arya of NewsGram. Twitter: @diksha_arya53